Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 4:15 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastNo 97.4%
Forecasters
15
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleMay 11, 23, 7:13 PM UTCJan 2, 29, 5:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Ramzan Kadyrov still head of the Chechen Republic through the end of 2026?
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Manifold Markets(10k subsidy) 1 year after Putin, who will be the apparent leader of Russia?
Manifold MarketsKadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by which date?
PolymarketRules
He needs to be the clear ruler in control of the military.