(10k subsidy) 1 year after Putin, who will be the apparent leader of Russia?
Russia / UkraineOne-Off2y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastOther 43.6%Leader of 13 outcomes
Forecasters
66
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Oct 24, 23, 3:35 PM UTCJan 1, 29, 7:59 AM UTC
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PolymarketRules
I will not resolve to "Other".
- Although if you buy it you'll automatically get shares in any new options created.
- 1 year after Putin dies or is clearly out of power (eg in jail, fled to Switzerland etc.)
- I will look in major media and find who is in charge.
- I'll favor the nominal highest leader, who typically does things like occupy the place of most honor, have the most rights, speak at the most important occasions etc. If there is a nominal leader who is a puppet, and we know the real power, I will choose the real power.
- IE in recent times regardless of his title, Putin has been in charge.
