Current community forecast
No 88.5%
Forecasters
9
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleApr 30, 25, 5:32 PM UTCApr 30, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
Resolution criteria:
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Canadian federal election is held on or before April 30, 2027.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
- Canada has recently conducted a federal election on April 28, 2025, resulting in the Liberal Party, led by Mark Carney, forming a minority government.
- (reuters.com) Under the Canada Elections Act, federal elections are scheduled every four years, with the next fixed date being October 15, 2029.
- However, the prime minister can request the governor general to dissolve Parliament, potentially leading to an earlier election.
