Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastPeggy Flanagan, 6-8% 14.7%Leader of 10 outcomes
Forecasters
2
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+4.7 pts
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleOct 29, 26, 4:15 AM UTCNov 3, 27, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Minnesota Senate margin of victory
KalshiMinnesota Senate: margin of victory
KalshiMinnesota Senate winner?
Kalshi2026 Minnesota Senate Race
Robinhood (Rothera)Who will win the 2027 Minnesota Senate Special Democratic Primary?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2027 Minnesota Senate Special Election?
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolves according to the official margin of victory in the 2026 Minnesota senate election.
- Can resolve early if result is clear.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — Minnesota Senate margin of victory · Flanagan, 1+ pts 88%
- Also available on Polymarket — Minnesota Senate Election Margin of Victory · Democrat 10-15% 34%
