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Data as of Sep 9, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Democrat 20-25% 39%-4.0ptLeader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
26 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$669.2
Low liquiditySpread
70.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Sep 2, 26, 7:14 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
The 2026 Minnesota Senate election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
- The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively.
- Independent candidates will not represent options for either party.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — Minnesota Senate margin of victory · Democrats, 1+ pts 89%
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Minnesota Senate Election Margin of Victory?
- Polymarket prices Democrat 20-25% at 39% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Minnesota Senate Election Margin of Victory resolve?
- Minnesota Senate Election Margin of Victory is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026.
- How is Minnesota Senate Election Margin of Victory settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: The 2026 Minnesota Senate election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
- Where else is Minnesota Senate Election Margin of Victory listed?
- The same question is also listed on Kalshi.