Marine Le Pen legally barred from running for French President in 2027?
PoliticsOne-OffElectionCrime & JusticeEurope6mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 97.3%
Forecasters
23
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 36 minutes ago
Nov 21, 24, 8:25 PM UTCMay 1, 27, 12:00 AM UTC
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PolymarketRules
This market resolves YES if Marine Le Pen is legally barred from running for French President in 2027.
- Main context: in her current embezzlement trial verdict, she is facing up to 5 years of ineligibility.
- The market resolves YES if:
- there is a legal ban from her running for president that is applicable to the 2027 election.
- This could be the case for example:
- Because the court ruling is provisionally executable (meaning it takes effect regardless of appeals).
