Manifold thinks the Iranian regime is in a stronger position on the anniversary of the start of Operation Epic Fury
Middle EastGeopolitics4moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 9:52 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastStronger 50.3%Leader of 3 outcomes
Forecasters
6
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleApr 8, 26, 1:46 AM UTCMar 1, 27, 2:43 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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LimitlessRules
On February 28th 2027 I'll create a poll asking "Is the Islamic regime of Iran in a stronger or weaker position than before Operation Epic Fury started?".
- Possible answers will be "stronger", "the named outcome" and "weaker".
- The poll will run for a week and this market will resolve to the poll's answer.
- If there is a tie I'll pass the tiebreaker.
