If Trump is elected, will the US still be a liberal democracy at the end of his term? (V-DEM)
One-OffPoliticsUS PoliticsElectionGeopolitics2y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 88%
Forecasters
210
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleFeb 23, 24, 9:36 PM UTCJan 21, 29, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PredictItRules
This will be resolved based on the first V-DEM report after his term (i.e. March 2029), which collects data up to and including 2028.'
- https://v-dem.net/
- If Trump is not elected in 2024, this market will close NA (all mana returned).
- Companion question:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/Siebe/if-a-democrat-is-elected-president)
