If Donald Trump is elected, will the US become bad enough for me as a trans woman that I have to emigrate to the UK?
PoliticsOne-OffUS Politics2y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 89.3%
Forecasters
45
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleJan 25, 24, 12:50 AM UTCDec 2, 28, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
Intended as a superset question to https://manifold.markets/WilliamEhlhardt/if-trump-gets-elected-will-prescrib-4f892f44d041.
- Prescribing HRT becoming illegal is just one way the US could become a considerably worse place to live.
- I am a dual citizen of the US and the UK, so I could legally move to the UK, but would rather not - I have more friends and family here, and significantly prefer the US work culture.
- I do have many friends in the UK, but we're not as close as my US friends.
- I'm currently (as of writing this question) unemployed, but will probably get a job within the next month or two.
- I might be able to keep that job through a move to the UK, but might not.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for If Donald Trump is elected, will the US become bad enough for me as a trans woman that I have to emigrate to the UK??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 89% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does If Donald Trump is elected, will the US become bad enough for me as a trans woman that I have to emigrate to the UK? resolve?
- If Donald Trump is elected, will the US become bad enough for me as a trans woman that I have to emigrate to the UK? is scheduled to resolve on December 2, 2028.
- How is If Donald Trump is elected, will the US become bad enough for me as a trans woman that I have to emigrate to the UK? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Intended as a superset question to https://manifold.markets/WilliamEhlhardt/if-trump-gets-elected-will-prescrib-4f892f44d041.