If the filibuster is ended by the midterms, what will the outcome of the 2026 US House and Senate elections be?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2026 US Midterms3d
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastD House, R Senate 48.7%Leader of 5 outcomes
Forecasters
5
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleMay 3, 26, 3:53 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
Resolves N/A if the filibuster is not ended by the midterms.
- Otherwise, resolves at the parties that have a majority in the House and Senate, respectively.
- If the Senate is 50-50, resolves R Senate.
- If neither the Republican nor Democratic Caucuses have a majority in a chamber, resolves at the party of the majority leader in that chamber.
- Resolves "other" if these conditions are somehow impossible to apply (e.g. independent majority leader, no midterms, house or senate no longer exist, all the congresspeople are abducted by aliens).
