Will Democrats win 53 seats or more in the 2026 Senate elections?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2026 US Midterms10d
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 63.2%
Forecasters
18
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 55 minutes ago
LaggingSep 23, 26, 2:33 AM UTCNov 4, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
Resolves YES if democrats are projected to hold 53 or more seats after the senate elections by the associated press.
- Independents that will caucus with democrats count as democrats.
