If Harris loses, will Tim Walz be the 2028 presidential nominee?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection1y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 97.1%
No 97.1%Forecasters
55
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Jul 30, 24, 2:51 AM UTCJul 6, 28, 6:59 AM UTC
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolves N/A if Harris wins the 2024 election (or if she’s not the nominee for some reason).
- [tweet]General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.