KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Before 2027 · —
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Stored price
Before 2027 1.9%
Before 2027 1.9%Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.8K
Open interest
$271.7K
High open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Before 2027Spread
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Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Dec 31, 25, 3:00 PM UTCJan 2, 27, 2:59 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Before Sep 1, 2026Lost
Before close: 2% ·
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Before 2027
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Tim Walz Finish his term as Governor of Minnesota?
Manifold MarketsTim Walz in jail by which date?
PolymarketTim Walz charged by which date?
PolymarketWill Tim Walz resign by which date?
PolymarketGarcía out as Governor of Nuevo León by which date?
PolymarketJared Polis out as Governor of Colorado?
KalshiRules
If Tim Walz leaves as Governor of Minnesota after Issuance and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ABC News AustraliaBloomberg NewsCNBCCNNDeutsche WelleFinancial TimesFox NewsMSNBCOffice of the Governor of MinnesotaTim WalzPoliticoReutersthe Associated Pressthe New York TimesThe Wall Street JournalThe Washington PostBBC
- Tim Walz must have an actual departure date by vacating the role within the time period. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Rules for each outcome
- Before Sep 1, 2026
- If Tim Walz leaves as Governor of Minnesota after Issuance and before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before 2027
- If Tim Walz leaves as Governor of Minnesota after Issuance and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Limitless — Tim Walz out as Governor of Minnesota? · Before Sep 1, 2026 50%