KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningSource data degradedStale data
Data as of Oct 31, 2026, 8:37 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Before Jan 1, 2027 · —
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Stored price
Before Jan 1, 2027 6.5%
Before Jan 1, 2027 6.5%Market quality
32 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$136
Open interest
$898.4
Low open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Before Jan 1, 2027Spread
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Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingMay 21, 26, 2:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Before Sep 1, 2026Lost
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Before Jan 1, 2027
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Michael Bennet elected governor of Colorado?
Manifold MarketsTim Walz out as Governor of Minnesota?
KalshiGarcía out as Governor of Nuevo León by which date?
PolymarketWill Maura Healey be reelected as Governor of Massachusetts in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Tim Walz Finish his term as Governor of Minnesota?
Manifold MarketsWill Gavin Newsom complete his second term as governor of California?
Manifold MarketsRules
If Jared Polis leaves as Governor of Colorado before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Jared PolisThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersOffice of the Governor of ColoradoCNNthe New York TimesPolitico
- Jared Polis must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Rules for each outcome
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Jared Polis leaves as Governor of Colorado before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Sep 1, 2026
- If Jared Polis leaves as Governor of Colorado before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.