PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningNo live quotes
Data as of Sep 8, 2026, 11:10 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
December 8%
Market quality
32 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$8.6K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
- / 0.1%
Comments
0
7d Change
-3.0 pts
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Jun 17, 26, 2:58 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Nuevo León Governor Election Winner
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Samuel García ceases to be the Governor of Nuevo León, Mexico, for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Samuel García’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from Samuel García and the government of Nuevo León; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for García out as Governor of Nuevo León by which date??
- Polymarket prices December at 8% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does García out as Governor of Nuevo León by which date? resolve?
- García out as Governor of Nuevo León by which date? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is García out as Governor of Nuevo León by which date? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Samuel García ceases to be the Governor of Nuevo León, Mexico, for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.