What are the current odds for If CA Prop 40 passes will 41 or 42 also pass??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 69.2% as of November 2, 2026.

When does If CA Prop 40 passes will 41 or 42 also pass? resolve?

If CA Prop 40 passes will 41 or 42 also pass? is scheduled to resolve on December 25, 2026.

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibrated

Current community forecast

Yes 69.2%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 6 minutes ago

Oct 1, 26, 7:06 PM UTCDec 25, 26, 11:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve based on the official results of the California General Election held on November 3, 2026, as certified by the California Secretary of State (results published at sos.ca.gov).
For the purposes of this market, a proposition is considered to have "passed" if it receives a majority of affirmative ("Yes") votes (greater than 50%), regardless of whether it is subsequently blocked, voided, or modified by a competing measure or court ruling.
Precondition: If California Proposition 40 does not receive a majority of "Yes" votes, this market will resolve as N/A. YES: If California Proposition 40 receives a majority of "Yes" votes, and at least one of California Proposition 41 or California Proposition 42 also receives a majority of "Yes" votes.
NO: If California Proposition 40 receives a majority of "Yes" votes, and neither Proposition 41 nor Proposition 42 receives a majority of "Yes" votes.