If at least one AI system causes more than 100 deaths in the next 12 months, who would be behind it?
GeopoliticsAI2mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastAccident/other 40.1%Leader of 3 outcomes
Forecasters
17
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleJan 12, 26, 5:05 PM UTCJan 12, 27, 5:05 PM UTC
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Excluding use in the Russia/Ukraine war, because AI systems are probably already killing more than 100 people in this context
- If more than one attack, refers to the first one.