Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastAt the end of his term in 2029. 83%Leader of 9 outcomes
Forecasters
675
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
-0.2 pts
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingMar 13, 25, 8:47 PM UTCJan 21, 29, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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FutuurRules
Donald Trump has been elected to a second term as President of the United States, which began on January 20, 2025.
- The Constitution limits presidents to two terms under the 22nd Amendment.
- There are several ways a president can leave office, including completing their term, resignation, impeachment and removal, invocation of the 25th Amendment, or death in office.
- Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve to the option that best describes how Donald Trump leaves the presidency.
- Only one option can resolve as YES:
