Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastAt the end of his term in 2029. 83.9%+1.3ptLeader of 9 outcomes
Forecasters
658
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+4.7 pts
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleMar 13, 25, 8:47 PM UTCJan 21, 29, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
When will Trump leave office as President?
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KalshiRules
Donald Trump has been elected to a second term as President of the United States, which began on January 20, 2025.
- The Constitution limits presidents to two terms under the 22nd Amendment.
- There are several ways a president can leave office, including completing their term, resignation, impeachment and removal, invocation of the 25th Amendment, or death in office.
- Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve to the option that best describes how Donald Trump leaves the presidency.
- Only one option can resolve as YES:
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for How will Trump leave office??
- Manifold Markets prices At the end of his term in 2029. at 84% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does How will Trump leave office? resolve?
- How will Trump leave office? is scheduled to resolve on January 21, 2029.
- How is How will Trump leave office? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Donald Trump has been elected to a second term as President of the United States, which began on January 20, 2025.