When will Trump leave office as President?

POLYMARKET

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

• Democrats Sweep-1.0pt65.7%
• R Senate, D+1.0pt25.5%
• Republicans Sweep7.8%

+2 more outcomes

Total Vol

$36.8M

24h Vol

$3.7M

KALSHI

Texas Senate winner?

• James Talarico-2.0pt63.5%
• Ken Paxton+1.0pt36%

Total Vol

$40.4M

24h Vol

$2.3M

POLYMARKET

Brazil Presidential Election

• Flávio Bolsonaro+7.4pt83.2%
• Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-7.5pt16.8%

+17 more outcomes

Total Vol

$195.1M

24h Vol

$2.1M

KALSHI

Which party will win the U.S. House?

• Democratic Party-0.7pt90.7%
• Republican Party+0.9pt9.6%

Total Vol

$68.8M

24h Vol

$1.5M

KALSHI

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

• Democrats sweep-1.0pt65.5%
• D-House, R-Senate+3.0pt25.5%
• Republicans sweep

POLYMARKET

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

• Flávio Bolsonaro <4%-1.0pt39.8%
• Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%+7.0pt37.9%
• Lula da Silva <4%-7.0pt13.6%