Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 82.9%
Forecasters
23
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleApr 14, 25, 11:15 AM UTCDec 31, 35, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if Donald Trump dies before January 1, 2036.
- It resolves NO if he is still alive on or after January 1, 2036.
- Donald Trump was born on June 14, 1946, making him 77 years old as of 2023.
- He served as the 45th President of the United States from 2017 to 2021 and is currently a candidate in the 2024 presidential election.
- Considerations