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Data as of Oct 29, 2026, 1:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastNo 91%
Forecasters
257
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated yesterday
StaleJun 2, 25, 11:07 PM UTCJan 20, 29, 11:44 PM UTC
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
If Donald Trump dies in office, who will President Vance choose as his Vice President?
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PolymarketRules
This will resolve on inauguration day, January 20, 2029 at 12:00 PM EST.
- If U.S. President Donald J. Trump is dead by that time, then the answer to this question is yes.
- This includes the possibility that he dies while J.D. Vance is the acting president if Trump is removed from office during his 2nd term.
- If Donald J. Trump is not dead by that time, then the answer to this question is no.
- This is regarding Trump's 2nd term as 47th president only and is regardless of any attempt that Trump makes to extend his term or run for a 3rd term.