Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 73.8%
Forecasters
9
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Aug 12, 26, 4:29 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
California Voter ID ballot proposition passes?
Manifold MarketsCalifornia voter ID referendum passes?
PolymarketWill the California Voter ID initiative pass?
KalshiWill Ohio vote to constitutionalize in-person voter ID?
KalshiBalance of Power: 2026 Midterms
PolymarketTexas Senate Election Winner
PolymarketRules
If approved, the amendment would make California the 37th U.S. state to require voter ID during elections
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_California_voter_ID_initiative#
- Resolves yes if California passes this additional voter identification proposition that will appear on the ballot on Nov 3 2026.
- Resolves n/a if for whatever reason it doesn’t appear.
- This is very unlikely as it says it will appear unless withdrawn by proponents.
- [image](Identical market to: source market)