Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 74.7%
Forecasters
84
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Apr 24, 26, 8:29 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
California Voter ID ballot proposition passes?
Manifold MarketsCalifornia voter ID referendum passes?
PolymarketWill the California Voter ID initiative pass?
KalshiWill Ohio vote to constitutionalize in-person voter ID?
KalshiWho wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?
PolymarketWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiRules
If approved, the amendment would make California the 37th U.S. state to require voter ID during elections
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_California_voter_ID_initiative#
- Resolves yes if California passes this additional voter identification proposition that will appear on the ballot on Nov 3 2026.
- Resolves n/a if for whatever reason it doesn’t appear.
- This is very unlikely as it says it will appear unless withdrawn by proponents.