South Carolina Republican Senate special primary: Mark Sanford vote percent (1st Round)
3.0 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection
KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: At least 10% (99%)
Resolved: Aug 14, 2026, 9:38 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
At least 10%
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 14, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
At least 10% 95.2%Leader of 8 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
34 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$4.7K
Liquidity
$17.1K
Medium liquidityMarket data
Updated 18 days ago
StaleAug 6, 26, 2:22 PMAug 11, 27, 2:00 PM
Probability Timeline
At least 15%1%
At least 10%99%
At least 20%1%
95.2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
0%
0%
Rules
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Mark Sanford in the first round of the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary is 10% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:South Carolina State Election Commission
- The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places.
- Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results.
- Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results.
- Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
- If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified.
