KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
At least 66% · —
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Stored price
At least 72% 39%Market line of 9 lines
At least 72% 39%Market quality
31 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$2.8K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
At least 66%Spread
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Market data
Updated 32 minutes ago
Sep 11, 26, 2:00 PM UTCNov 3, 27, 2:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · At least 66%
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Rules
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Adrian Smith in the 2026 NE-03 House election is 72% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Office of the Secretary of State, Lincoln, NE
- The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Adrian Smith ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
Rules for each outcome
- At least 66%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Adrian Smith in the 2026 NE-03 House election is 66% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 68%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Adrian Smith in the 2026 NE-03 House election is 68% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 70%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Adrian Smith in the 2026 NE-03 House election is 70% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 72%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Adrian Smith in the 2026 NE-03 House election is 72% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 74%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Adrian Smith in the 2026 NE-03 House election is 74% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 76%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Adrian Smith in the 2026 NE-03 House election is 76% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 78%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Adrian Smith in the 2026 NE-03 House election is 78% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 80%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Adrian Smith in the 2026 NE-03 House election is 80% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 82%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Adrian Smith in the 2026 NE-03 House election is 82% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
