KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 30, 2026, 7:17 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
At least 60% · —
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Stored price
At least 66% 49%Market line of 9 lines
At least 66% 49%Market quality
28 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$400
Open interest
$3.1K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
At least 60%Spread
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Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingSep 11, 26, 2:00 PM UTCJan 3, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · At least 60%
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Florida Senate election: Ashley Moody vote percent
KalshiMichigan Senate election: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent
KalshiMT-01 House election: Sam Forstag vote percent
KalshiAlaska Senate election: Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. vote percent (1st Round)
KalshiMaine Senate election: Troy Jackson vote percent (1st Round)
KalshiTX-23 House election: Brandon Herrera vote percent
KalshiRules
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Mike Ezell in the 2026 MS-04 House election is 66% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Mike Ezell ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
Rules for each outcome
- At least 60%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Mike Ezell in the 2026 MS-04 House election is 60% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 62%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Mike Ezell in the 2026 MS-04 House election is 62% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 64%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Mike Ezell in the 2026 MS-04 House election is 64% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 66%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Mike Ezell in the 2026 MS-04 House election is 66% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 68%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Mike Ezell in the 2026 MS-04 House election is 68% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 70%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Mike Ezell in the 2026 MS-04 House election is 70% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 72%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Mike Ezell in the 2026 MS-04 House election is 72% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 74%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Mike Ezell in the 2026 MS-04 House election is 74% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 76%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Mike Ezell in the 2026 MS-04 House election is 76% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
