KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
At least 54% 44%Market line of 9 lines
At least 54% 44%Market quality
56 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1K
Open interest
$1K
Low open interestSpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Sep 28, 26, 3:30 PM UTCNov 3, 27, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Scott Wiener in the 2026 CA-11 House election is 44% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Scott Wiener ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places.
- Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results.
- Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results.
- Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Scott Wiener in the 2026 CA-11 House election is 46% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
