KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
At least 58% 33%Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
26 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$2.7
Low liquiditySpread
9.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Sep 11, 26, 2:00 PM UTCNov 3, 27, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Alabama Governor election: Doug Jones vote percent
KalshiTX-23 House election: Brandon Herrera vote percent
KalshiVA-02 House election: Jen Kiggans vote percent
KalshiAlaska Senate election: Mary Peltola vote percent (1st Round)
KalshiNC-11 House election: Jamie Ager vote percent
KalshiCA-43 House election: Maxine Waters vote percent
KalshiRules
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Jim Risch in the 2026 Idaho Senate election is 50% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Idaho Secretary of State
- The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Jim Risch ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places.
- Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results.
- Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results.
- Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Jim Risch in the 2026 Idaho Senate election is 52% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
Politics
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+3.0pt61%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-4.0pt38%
- Renan Santos+0.1pt1%
+16 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $152.8M
- 24h Vol
- $837.1K
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+0.9pt91%
- Republican Party-0.3pt9%
- Total Vol
- $34.3M
- 24h Vol
- $783.5K
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17.9%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.8%
- Gavin Newsom13.7%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $222.7M
- 24h Vol
- $717.1K
KALSHILos Angeles Mayor winner?
- Karen Bass-8.0pt54%
- Nithya Raman+9.0pt46%
- Total Vol
- $33.1M
- 24h Vol
- $578.4K
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+3.0pt61%
- D-House, R-Senate30%
- Republicans sweep-1.5pt8%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $17.3M
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.5pt18%
- Jon Ossoff+0.7pt17%
- Gavin Newsom-1.9pt13%
+48 more outcomes
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- Ohio Senate winner?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Next French Presidential Election
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Idaho Senate election: Jim Risch vote percent?
- Kalshi prices At least 58% at 33% as of September 21, 2026.
- When does Idaho Senate election: Jim Risch vote percent resolve?
- Idaho Senate election: Jim Risch vote percent is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2027.
- How is Idaho Senate election: Jim Risch vote percent settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Jim Risch in the 2026 Idaho Senate election is 50% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.