KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityMarco Rubio 9%-3.4%Leader of 33 outcomes
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$13.2K
Liquidity
$1.6M
High liquidityBid / Ask
8.1% / 9.0%
Spread
11.1%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 19 minutes ago
Dec 13, 25, 3:00 PMJan 1, 27, 2:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Marco Rubio9%
Large trades
$4.7k33.0%KALSHIKash Patel — No14d ago
KALSHIKash Patel — No14d ago$1.9k33.0%KALSHIKash Patel — No14d ago
KALSHIKash Patel — No14d ago$2.2k55.0%KALSHIKash Patel — Yes14d ago
KALSHIKash Patel — Yes14d ago$1.3k80.0%KALSHIAmy Gleason — Yes17d ago
KALSHIAmy Gleason — Yes17d agoVolume trend
$13.2kJul 225d of dataJul 26
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If Kash Patel leaves as Director of the FBI before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Kash Patel must have an actual departure date by vacating the role within the time period.
- If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
- For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.