Before Jan 3, 2027
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
Loading selected book…
—
Stored price
No 78.5%
No 78.5%Market quality
46 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$205
Open interest
$1K
Low open interestBid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
—
Market data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Nov 2, 26, 8:00 AM UTCJan 3, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · No
Loading selected book…
—
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Haley Stevens leave the Democratic Party by Dec 31?
PredictItWill Haley Stevens lose a committee assignment or her ranking post?
KalshiHow will Haley Stevens vote on Pete Hegseth impeachment?
Manifold MarketsWas Haley Stevens paid to endorse Mike Rodgers?
Manifold MarketsWho will be House Democratic Caucus Vice Chair?
KalshiWill Haley Stevens be a speaker the 2028 RNC?
Manifold MarketsRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:The New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCOffice of the Clerk of the U.S. House of RepresentativesBloomberg NewsNBCHouse Democratic CaucusHaley Stevens
- If Haley Stevens changes their official party registration from the Democratic Party to another party or to independent/unaffiliated status, announces they are no longer a member of the House Democratic Caucus, or is expelled from the House Democratic Caucus by official party action, then the market will resolve to Yes. Announcing a switch to another party or to independent status, or joining the House Republican Conference, counts as leaving the House Democratic Caucus. The following do NOT count: Being stripped of committee assignments while remaining in the House Democratic Caucus. Temporary suspension from caucus activities or committees while remaining a member. Loss of party endorsement or support while remaining a member. Statements about considering leaving without actual departure. Resignation from Congress or expulsion from Congress.
Rules for each outcome
- No
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- Yes
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
