Before Jan 3, 2027
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored price
No 88.5%
No 88.5%Market quality
68 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$794.4
Open interest
$3.8K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
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Market data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Nov 1, 26, 6:24 PM UTCJan 3, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · No
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
How will Haley Stevens vote on Pete Hegseth impeachment?
Manifold MarketsWill Haley Stevens leave the House Democratic Caucus?
KalshiWill Haley Stevens leave the Democratic Party by Dec 31?
PredictItWas Haley Stevens paid to endorse Mike Rodgers?
Manifold MarketsWhere will Haley Stevens work next?
KalshiHaley Stevens moving to/living in Israel by 2028?
Manifold MarketsRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:Clerk of the U.S. House of RepresentativesThe New York TimesThe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBCBBC
- Losing a committee assignment refers to Haley Stevens ceasing to be a member of any House committee or subcommittee she sits on, or ceasing to be the ranking member of the Research and Technology Subcommittee, for any reason. This includes removal by the House, the House Democratic Caucus or party leadership, leaving the House Democratic Caucus, stepping down from the position, or leaving the House. The end of her House term on Jan 3, 2027 does NOT count. Only reporting from the Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives or any other Source Agency qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
Rules for each outcome
- No
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- Yes
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
