KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Morena · —
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Stored price
Morena 76%Leader of 3 outcomes
Morena 76%Market quality
42 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$354.3
Low open interestBid / Ask
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MorenaSpread
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Market data
Updated 38 minutes ago
Oct 12, 26, 2:00 PM UTCSep 27, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Morena
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Rules
If the candidate of the registered coalition that includes Morena wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- A candidate's coalition is the coalition or candidatura común that registered the candidate with the Instituto Estatal Electoral y de Participación Ciudadana de Sonora, and a party running alone is a coalition of one. Coalition membership is fixed at registration; later changes do not move a candidate. A coalition that includes more than one of Morena, PAN and MC counts only for the first of them in that order. If the winner's coalition includes none of them, every market resolves to No. Morena is Movimiento Regeneración Nacional, PAN is Partido Acción Nacional, MC is Movimiento Ciudadano. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.
Rules for each outcome
- Morena
- If the candidate of the registered coalition that includes Morena wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- MC
- If the candidate of the registered coalition that includes MC wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- PAN
- If the candidate of the registered coalition that includes PAN wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
