KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Democrats, 37+ pts 9%+5.1ptLeader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
36 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$200
Liquidity
$64
Low liquiditySpread
6.8 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 8 minutes ago
May 5, 26, 8:25 PMNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
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Rules
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Tennessee's 9th District by 37 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Tennessee's 9th District margin of victory?
- Kalshi prices Democrats, 37+ pts at 9% as of September 2, 2026.
- When does Tennessee's 9th District margin of victory resolve?
- Tennessee's 9th District margin of victory is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2027.
- How is Tennessee's 9th District margin of victory settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Tennessee's 9th District by 37 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.