KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: At least 20 (99%)
Resolved: Jun 23, 2026, 2:34 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
At least 20
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Probability Timeline
At least 2099%
At least 601%
At least 802%
At least 20Won
At least 40Lost
At least 50Lost
At least 30Lost
At least 80Lost
At least 60Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
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PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
PolymarketUS-Iran nuclear deal?
KalshiWhen will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
KalshiRules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is the named outcome in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.