KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Stephen Lynch 80.2%+2.0pt
Market quality
86 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$148.3K
Liquidity
$216.6K
High liquidityBid / Ask
79.0% / 81.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 14 minutes ago
May 19, 26, 2:00 PMNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Rules
If the named outcome wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 MA-08 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Democratic Party of Massachusetts
Open markets
PoliticsKALSHIMassachusetts Democratic Senate nominee?
- Ed Markey+0.9pt100%
- Seth Moulton-0.7pt0%
- Ayanna Pressley0%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $4M
- 24h Vol
- $2.3M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt17.2%
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17.2%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14.1%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.3pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.2pt11%
- Jon Ossoff11%
+49 more outcomes
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva56%
- Flávio Bolsonaro-0.3pt39%
- Renan Santos+0.7pt3%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 more outcomes
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.2pt61%
- October 31+1.5pt39%
- September 30-1.0pt20%
+17 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for MA-08 Democratic nominee??
- Kalshi prices Stephen Lynch at 80% as of September 2, 2026.
- When does MA-08 Democratic nominee? resolve?
- MA-08 Democratic nominee? is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2027.
- How is MA-08 Democratic nominee? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 MA-08 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.