Current implied probability
5 2%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
36 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1K
Liquidity
$1K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
2.0% / 3.0%
Spread
50.0%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Jul 7, 26, 6:45 PMJan 8, 29, 3:00 PM
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
52%
Volume trend
$1.0kJul 72d of dataJul 8
Related Markets
Clacton by-election Winner
$699.5KNigel Farage: 90%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Next French Presidential Election
$472.9KMarine Le Pen: 27%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
$197.6KUnited Russia (ER): 56%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Clacton By-Election - Winner
$13.2KConservative: 0.01%SMARKETS
SMARKETS
Will Count BinFace win the Clacton-by-election?
$5KYes: 13.9%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill a Clacton by-election happen in 2026?
$4.1KYes: 96%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActive in these topics
Related News
Last-minute MiCA approvals mark end of EU transition periodCointelegraph
Europe’s MiCA crypto regime is fully in force: Here’s who wins and losesThe Block
Democrats ramp up election-integrity push as Polymarket keeps Bardella at 25.5%Blockchain.News
Colorado Dem upset jolts 2028 chatter as Polymarket puts Newsom at 20.5%Blockchain.News
Why Poland is the only EU country where crypto firms can't get a MiCA licenseCoindesk
Colorado primary surprise as Polymarket keeps Maduro favored at 80%Blockchain.NewsRules
If the number of people who have served as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, excluding Keir Starmer, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2029 is exactly 1, then the market resolves to Yes.
- "Served in the role" means that an individual has formally held the position in an official capacity, whether by appointment, election, succession, or acting designation, and performed the duties of that role for any length of time during the time period.
- If an individual serves multiple non-consecutive terms in the role, they will count once for each term (allowing an individual to be counted multiple times).
- If an individual holds the role temporarily in an "acting" or "interim" capacity for any amount of time, or is formally designated as such, they count as serving in the role.
- Dual officeholders count once per person even if holding multiple titles simultaneously.
- If an individual is appointed but never sworn in, or withdraws before assuming office, they do not count as serving.