How many House seats will Democrats win in Florida?
One-OffPoliticsUS PoliticsElection2026 US Midterms1y
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 3:56 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Above 10 · —
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Stored price
Above 10 18%Leader of 9 outcomes
Above 10 18%Market quality
32 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$4.1K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Above 10Spread
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Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Apr 27, 26, 5:30 PM UTCNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Above 10
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
If Democrats win above 10 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Florida, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Florida Secretary of State
- A seat is considered "won" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either: The time for legal challenges has expired Challenges have been resolved The member has taken their seat Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. The count is determined when the new legislature takes their seats, even if some seats remain vacant or challenged. If the election is postponed beyond one year from the original date or cancelled entirely, the market resolves to the last fair market price. Only seats actually contested and filled are counted in partial elections. By-elections after the main election are included only if seated simultaneously with the rest of the legislature.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 10
- If Democrats win above 10 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Florida, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 7
- If Democrats win 7 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Florida, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 6
- If Democrats win 6 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Florida, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 8
- If Democrats win 8 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Florida, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4
- If Democrats win 4 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Florida, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 10
- If Democrats win 10 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Florida, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5
- If Democrats win 5 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Florida, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 9
- If Democrats win 9 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Florida, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Below 4
- If Democrats win below 4 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Florida, then the market resolves to Yes.
