KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeCurrent implied probabilityRepublican party 4%-5.8%
Market quality
28 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$43
Liquidity
$1.9K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
3.3% / 6.4%
Spread
93.9%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 15 minutes ago
Jan 7, 26, 1:08 AMNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Republican party4%
Compare venues· Democratic Party
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall60% match · verified | Medium | 94% | 0pt | $2.6K | $69.6K | 1 minute ago | Open → |
| KalshiThis page | Low | 94% | 0pt | $43 | $1.9K | 15 minutes ago |
Also available on Polymarket
MO-01 House Election Winner
0.5%3mo
-0.1%94%
+0.5%2%
0%
+5 more outcomes
64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$31.2K
24h Vol$2.6K
POLYMARKETRules
If the House member sworn in for MO-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If the House member sworn in for MO-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$43Jul 32d of dataJul 8
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If the House member sworn in for MO-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If the House member sworn in for MO-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.