KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Above 30 · —
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Stored price
Above 30 18.5%Market line of 10 lines
Above 30 18.5%Market quality
59 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$36.7
Open interest
$134.3K
High open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Above 30Spread
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Market data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Sep 2, 26, 4:00 PM UTCJan 5, 27, 1:59 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Above 30
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
PolymarketPeak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/19 - 10/25)
KalshiStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by January 31? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsWhich month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
PolymarketRules
If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 30 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:IMF PortWatch
Rules for each outcome
- Above 30
- If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 30 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 40
- If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 40 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 50
- If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 50 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 60
- If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 80
- If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 80 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 70
- If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 70 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 90
- If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 90 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 100
- If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 100 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 110
- If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 110 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 120
- If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 120 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.