How many House members will vote to impeach Pete Hegseth?
35.0 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS Politics1mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Above 220 · —
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Stored price
Above 220 5.5%Market line of 7 lines
Above 220 5.5%Market quality
70 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$14K
Open interest
$18.4K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Above 220Spread
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Market data
Updated 25 minutes ago
Nov 6, 26, 9:00 PM UTCJan 3, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
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- Early close:
- Yes
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- 5m (informational)
Market depth · Above 220
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
If the number of Representatives voting Yea on adoption of a resolution impeaching Pete Hegseth before Jan 3, 2027 is above 220, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The vote counted is the first House vote in which the House adopts a resolution or an article of impeachment against Pete Hegseth. If the articles are voted on separately, the vote on the first article adopted counts. The following do NOT count: A vote on a motion to table, refer, postpone or otherwise dispose of an impeachment resolution, or on a special rule or the previous question A vote on a resolution or article that the House does not adopt A committee vote The vote must occur in the relevant full chamber (that is, not a Committee vote, though not every member of the chamber needs to have participated in the vote). If no vote has occurred before the specified date, then any market not including "zero" within its count (e.g. "Between 50 and 64") resolves to No, and any market including "zero" (e.g. "Below 50") resolves to Yes. If the vote count is not specified but the resolution is adopted, any market including "435" for the House of Representatives (e.g. "Between 300 and 435") will resolve to Yes, and any market not including "435" resolves to No. Once the market has expired, a request by any Member of Congress to add, remove, or alter a vote shall not be considered for purposes of resolving this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally reported by the website Congress.gov or any other official source.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 220
- If the number of Representatives voting Yea on adoption of a resolution impeaching Pete Hegseth before Jan 3, 2027 is above 220, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 210
- If the number of Representatives voting Yea on adoption of a resolution impeaching Pete Hegseth before Jan 3, 2027 is above 210, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 250
- If the number of Representatives voting Yea on adoption of a resolution impeaching Pete Hegseth before Jan 3, 2027 is above 250, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 240
- If the number of Representatives voting Yea on adoption of a resolution impeaching Pete Hegseth before Jan 3, 2027 is above 240, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 215
- If the number of Representatives voting Yea on adoption of a resolution impeaching Pete Hegseth before Jan 3, 2027 is above 215, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 225
- If the number of Representatives voting Yea on adoption of a resolution impeaching Pete Hegseth before Jan 3, 2027 is above 225, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 230
- If the number of Representatives voting Yea on adoption of a resolution impeaching Pete Hegseth before Jan 3, 2027 is above 230, then the market resolves to Yes.