KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Lois Frankel (99%)
Resolved: Aug 19, 2026, 2:53 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 19, 2026, 2:10 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Lois Frankel 97.1%+3.0ptLeader of 5 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
44 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$20.4K
Liquidity
$134.9K
High liquidityMarket data
Updated 13 days ago
StaleMar 12, 26, 2:00 PMNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Victoria Doyle6%
Oliver Larkin1%
97.1%
1%
1%
1%
0%
Rules
If the named outcome wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 FL-23 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Democratic Party of Florida
Open markets
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- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16%
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $209.1M
- 24h Vol
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POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.3pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez11%
- Jon Ossoff11%
+49 more outcomes
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POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva56.6%
- Flávio Bolsonaro39.4%
- Renan Santos+0.3pt2%
+16 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIMassachusetts Democratic Senate nominee?
- Ed Markey+0.5pt99%
- Seth Moulton-0.9pt1%
- Ayanna Pressley0%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-0.2pt33%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt27%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon14%
+38 more outcomes
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
- Flávio Bolsonaro-0.5pt86%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva+0.9pt13%
- Augusto Cury-0.1pt1%
+15 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for FL-23 Democratic nominee??
- Kalshi prices Lois Frankel at 97% as of August 19, 2026.
- When does FL-23 Democratic nominee? resolve?
- FL-23 Democratic nominee? is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2027.
- How is FL-23 Democratic nominee? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 FL-23 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.