KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
By Jan 1, 2040 · —
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Stored price
By Jan 1, 2040 12%Leader of 3 outcomes
By Jan 1, 2040 12%Market quality
37 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$520.4
Low open interestBid / Ask
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By Jan 1, 2040Spread
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Market data
Updated 21 minutes ago
Jun 18, 26, 4:06 PM UTCDec 31, 31, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 1h (informational)
Market depth · By Jan 1, 2040
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsHow will the United Kingdom be classed by Regimes of the World in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
If the United Kingdom has joined the EU by Jan 1, 2040, or the date that the country will officially join per its accession treaty is Jan 1, 2040, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:EU
Rules for each outcome
- By Jan 1, 2040
- If the United Kingdom has joined the EU by Jan 1, 2040, or the date that the country will officially join per its accession treaty is Jan 1, 2040, then the market resolves to Yes.
- By Jan 1, 2035
- If the United Kingdom has joined the EU by Jan 1, 2035, or the date that the country will officially join per its accession treaty is Jan 1, 2035, then the market resolves to Yes.
- By Jan 1, 2032
- If the United Kingdom has joined the EU by Jan 1, 2032, or the date that the country will officially join per its accession treaty is Jan 1, 2032, then the market resolves to Yes.
