KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 94%
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$3.1K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
7.0% / 11.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Apr 7, 26, 4:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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FutuurOn what dates will Andy Burnham still be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom?
Manifold MarketsWill Kanye West / Ye visit Israel this year?
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LimitlessRules
If Ye has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of The United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The GuardianFox Newsofficial social media accounts of Ye or their official representativesSemaforThe InformationCNBCthe Associated PressThe Wall Street JournalCNNPoliticoMSNBCThe Washington PostReutersofficial government sources of the UKThe New York Times
- Physical presence within the geographic boundaries is required - flying over without landing, airport layovers where the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual appearances, presence in international waters, or presence solely within embassy/consulate grounds do NOT count as visits.
- For cities, official municipal boundaries apply.
- For states/provinces, official boundaries apply.
- For countries, internationally recognized borders apply.
- International airports are considered within their host jurisdiction.
Open markets
Entertainment
POLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.5pt70.6%
- 940 - 950m-17.0pt25.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $371.8K
- 24h Vol
- $113.9K
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+26.0pt67%
- Jack Barton-7.0pt21%
- Callum Turner-6.0pt19%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-5.5pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.6pt9%
+21 more outcomes
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $93K
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $151.8K
- 24h Vol
- $52.7K
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer-1.0pt17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Bad Bunny: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Ye visit The United Kingdom this year??
- Kalshi prices No at 94% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Ye visit The United Kingdom this year? resolve?
- Will Ye visit The United Kingdom this year? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will Ye visit The United Kingdom this year? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Ye has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of The United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.