KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityNo 85%
Market quality
53 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$0.9
Liquidity
$11.2K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
9.4% / 15.0%
Spread
5.6 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Jan 26, 26, 10:00 PMJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes15%
Compare venues· No
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiThis pageBest overall | Medium | 85% | — | $0.9 | $11.2K | 8 minutes ago | |
 PolymarketMost active85% match · verified | Low | 100% | — | $151.1 | $12.9K | 27 days ago | Open → |
Also available on Polymarket
Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?
0.1 ptsClosed
Resolved
No (100%)
100%
0%
29 • Low qualitySpread unknownMedium liquidity
Total Vol$101.4K
24h Vol$151.1
POLYMARKETRules
If Kanye West / Ye has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Israel before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Physical presence within the geographic boundaries of the area is required.
- Flying over without landing, layovers during which the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual or remote appearances, future visit plans, or (unless explicitly specified) presence in adjacent international waters or solely within embassy or consulate grounds do NOT constitute a visit.
- International airports are considered within the boundaries of their host jurisdiction.
- A visit that began before the specified time period and is ongoing as of its start does not count; however, if the person departs and re-enters the area during the time period, the re-entry constitutes a new visit and does count.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$0.94Jul 317d of dataJul 28
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If Kanye West / Ye has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Israel before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Physical presence within the geographic boundaries of the area is required.
- Flying over without landing, layovers during which the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual or remote appearances, future visit plans, or (unless explicitly specified) presence in adjacent international waters or solely within embassy or consulate grounds do NOT constitute a visit.
- International airports are considered within the boundaries of their host jurisdiction.
- A visit that began before the specified time period and is ongoing as of its start does not count; however, if the person departs and re-enters the area during the time period, the re-entry constitutes a new visit and does count.