Manifold MarketsNo KYCCurrent community forecastYes 10.4%
Forecasters
27
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 days ago
StaleApr 23, 25, 8:40 PMJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes10%
Related Markets
Will @aella revert to Christianity within 5 years?
$991.8Yes: 4%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the roman catholic church permit the ordination of trans male priests by 2030?
$300Yes: 8.5%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Jesus return on November 25 2026
$188.9Yes: 1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
What countries will Pope Leo visit before 2027?
$0Peru: 84%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Will the Catholic Church publicly excommunicate anyone else in 2026?
$0Yes: 58%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Vatican III in 2026?
$0Yes: 9%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Rules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.