PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityNo 98%
Market quality
86 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$2.2K
Liquidity
$814.8K
High liquidityBid / Ask
1.9% / 2.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Nov 25, 25, 6:08 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes2%
Compare venues· No
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | High | 98% | — | $2.2K | $814.8K | 14 minutes ago | |
 Manifold Markets85% match · auto | — | 98% | — | — | — | 67 days ago | Open → |
Also available on Manifold Markets
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Closed
98.4%
1.6%
Community forecast29 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if The Second Coming of Jesus Christ occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$1.1k98.1%POLYMARKETNovgsrreton5d ago
POLYMARKETNovgsrreton5d agoVolume trend
$2.2kJul 226d of dataJul 27
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Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if The Second Coming of Jesus Christ occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.