Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 7:03 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastNo 99%
Forecasters
48
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleFeb 3, 26, 1:29 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsGTA VI Online: Release date
KalshiRules
This market resolves YES if the son of God, Jesus Christ, has his second coming before the release of the anticipated game "GTA VI"
- Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if Jesus Christ's second coming occurs before GTA VI releases.
- Resolution will be determined by widespread, credible reporting of the event.
- If GTA VI releases on or before, or after, November 19, 2026 without the second coming of Christ having occurred, the market resolves NO.