KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 75%
Market quality
68 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.3K
Liquidity
$14.3K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
25.0% / 28.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Aug 31, 26, 5:30 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Rockstar Games Company ever release GTA 6 for PC users?
Manifold MarketsWhat game will Rockstar games release after GTA 6?
Manifold MarketsWill STEEL BALL RUN Episode 2 Release before GTA VI?
Manifold MarketsWill Rockstar Games release the PC version of GTA 6 before 2028?
KalshiGTA VI released by which date?
PolymarketWill GTA VI preorders be reported?
KalshiRules
If Rockstar Games releases GTA VI Online to the public before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For this market, “GTA VI Online” means an online multiplayer mode or service for Grand Theft Auto VI, whether bundled with the base game or separately distributed and regardless of the name Rockstar Games uses.
- It is released when the general U.S. public can access and play it on at least one supported platform.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Rockstar Games.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Open markets
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.5pt70.6%
- 940 - 950m-17.0pt25.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $371.8K
- 24h Vol
- $113.9K
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+26.0pt67%
- Jack Barton-7.0pt21%
- Callum Turner-6.0pt19%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-5.5pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.6pt9%
+21 more outcomes
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $93K
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $151.8K
- 24h Vol
- $52.7K
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer-1.0pt17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Bad Bunny: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Rockstar Games release GTA VI Online before 2027??
- Kalshi prices No at 75% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Rockstar Games release GTA VI Online before 2027? resolve?
- Will Rockstar Games release GTA VI Online before 2027? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will Rockstar Games release GTA VI Online before 2027? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Rockstar Games releases GTA VI Online to the public before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.