Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jun 24, 2026, 9:24 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current community forecastYes 1.8%
Forecasters
192
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 32 days ago
StaleDec 30, 23, 8:07 PMJan 1, 29, 5:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes2%
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Rules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.