Will the percentage of Americans identifying as Christian drop below 20% before 2100?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will the percentage of Americans identifying as Christian drop below 20% before 2100??

Manifold Markets prices No at 63% as of October 25, 2026.

When does Will the percentage of Americans identifying as Christian drop below 20% before 2100? resolve?

Will the percentage of Americans identifying as Christian drop below 20% before 2100? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2099.

How is Will the percentage of Americans identifying as Christian drop below 20% before 2100? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves yes if at some point before 2100 a credible survey finds that less than 20% of Americans identify as Christian

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